Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.043320 0.050464 0.058410 0.067904 0.078940 0.091368 0.106431
2025-11-09 0.030968 0.039933 0.050946 0.065472 0.084137 0.107334 0.138391
2025-11-16 0.024466 0.034126 0.046937 0.065175 0.090497 0.124457 0.173557
2025-11-23 0.020030 0.029803 0.043608 0.064538 0.095506 0.139723 0.207833
2025-11-30 0.017325 0.027255 0.042067 0.065773 0.102830 0.158677 0.249530
2025-12-07 0.014809 0.024482 0.039626 0.065066 0.106827 0.172864 0.285652
2025-12-14 0.012605 0.021802 0.036849 0.063262 0.108596 0.183489 0.317197
2025-12-21 0.010823 0.019518 0.034334 0.061421 0.109864 0.193193 0.348179
2025-12-28 0.009846 0.018461 0.033709 0.062666 0.116480 0.212604 0.398356
2026-01-04 0.008880 0.017272 0.032667 0.062966 0.121348 0.229400 0.445855
2026-01-11 0.008031 0.016175 0.031628 0.063090 0.125826 0.245910 0.494816
2026-01-18 0.007387 0.015378 0.031040 0.063972 0.131819 0.265915 0.553049
2026-01-25 0.006899 0.014845 0.030927 0.065848 0.140172 0.291836 0.627286
2026-02-01 0.006070 0.013488 0.028977 0.063681 0.139917 0.300384 0.666667
2026-02-08 0.005520 0.012652 0.027998 0.063436 0.143691 0.317751 0.727317
2026-02-15 0.005007 0.011824 0.026924 0.062824 0.146553 0.333459 0.786327
2026-02-22 0.004689 0.011395 0.026672 0.064029 0.153660 0.359386 0.872149
2026-03-01 0.004273 0.010677 0.025670 0.063341 0.156246 0.375310 0.936482
2026-03-08 0.003836 0.009849 0.024301 0.061585 0.156022 0.384598 0.985921
2026-03-15 0.003446 0.009086 0.022990 0.059793 0.155462 0.392983 1.034206
2026-03-22 0.003261 0.008820 0.022871 0.061005 0.162666 0.421384 1.137627
2026-03-29 0.003044 0.008442 0.022421 0.061297 0.167516 0.444431 1.230095
2026-04-05 0.002839 0.008067 0.021932 0.061418 0.171925 0.466882 1.324022